Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 45.579375 52.353306 59.400084 67.246334 75.707699 84.528438 94.389730
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 37.112937 46.884497 57.615365 70.143210 84.241322 99.499751 117.147358
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 31.745836 43.130390 56.144708 71.852933 90.043213 110.212571 134.038579
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.335092 38.474558 52.904174 70.869240 92.214660 116.386670 145.458697
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 22.039384 34.574750 50.040738 69.851410 93.932760 121.704290 155.616765
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 19.045435 31.936767 48.392291 70.004048 96.791614 128.157455 166.938922
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 16.563316 29.670482 46.961190 70.206588 99.534830 134.344976 177.858622
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 14.631824 27.932169 46.029489 70.882661 102.738402 140.999869 189.281132
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.435340 25.550715 44.030438 70.005050 103.863357 145.039016 197.507176
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.194300 24.456215 43.681210 71.203181 107.547980 152.167536 209.442675
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.194909 23.621612 43.611222 72.710625 111.589165 159.720664 221.902544
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.685543 21.769012 41.936114 71.922213 112.569545 163.409600 229.605173
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.043852 19.480080 39.474672 69.950197 111.950441 165.092645 234.889016
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.693097 19.469207 40.447424 72.808988 117.761605 174.949217 250.363506
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.142645 19.008702 40.675417 74.574715 122.096109 182.930544 263.526119
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.108020 17.443353 39.044294 73.565634 122.617004 185.985234 270.502146
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.204950 15.979003 37.456798 72.524122 123.020620 188.838281 277.192118
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.607752 15.067320 36.711774 72.680322 125.036624 193.764934 286.500574
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.088885 14.233473 36.032708 72.887654 127.092815 198.729893 295.859130
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.693440 13.621463 35.691635 73.579658 129.811371 204.562388 306.336562
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.160183 12.510773 34.370164 72.681354 130.230940 207.325245 312.863210
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.918713 12.158735 34.409073 73.907712 133.678067 214.119904 324.600421
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.731393 11.926215 34.651863 75.450415 137.582731 221.539101 337.170356